Down 38 lbs in 5 months but waist barely moved — normal?

2026-09-02 10885 views 77 posts

I'm 5 ft 6 in, started at 212 lbs in early January, now 174 as of this morning. I lift 3x/week and walk 8-10k steps. Meals are mostly protein and veg, roughly 1600-1800 cal.

The weird thing: pants went from 38 to 36, but tape at navel only dropped from 43.5 to 42.25 inches. Scale moved 38 lbs, waist barely 1.25. I expected more.

Am I losing muscle, water, or just unlucky fat distribution? Labs in March: A1c 5.4, fasting glucose 92, lipids improved.

Anyone track both scale and tape with a big gap?

Navel tape is a liar for some of us. I lost 45 lbs and my navel didn't move until month 7. Hips and thighs went first.

Time of day matters too. Morning vs after dinner is a 1.5 inch difference on the tape. Did you measure at the same time both days?

Same tape tension each time? I was pulling tighter when I felt discouraged. Once I marked the tape it stopped lying.

I'd kill for 1.25 inches off my navel.

How do shirts fit compared to pants? My collar and upper back changed way before my waist. Fat loss isn't uniform.

Shirts vs pants is smart. I take monthly photos because tape says stuck while photos show my back rolls gone. Scale and tape lie differently.

I had a similar stretch: 205 to 168 over about six months, waist only 43 to 41. I was convinced I'd broken my metabolism. Turned out visceral fat can drop first, which doesn't always show at the navel, and my subcutaneous belly fat was the last to go.

What helped me was measuring at three spots—navel, widest belly, and hip—plus neck. Neck dropped 2 inches while navel stalled. Maybe track a 3-site average instead of one point. Also, are you bloated from the bigger protein and veg volume? That can add an inch for me.

Not unlucky. Where you store fat is genetic. I'm apple shaped and my waist is always last. My legs looked skinny at 190 and my belly still looked pregnant.

Core work and posture might matter. Not spot reduction, but when I slump my belly pushes out more. Dead bugs and planks changed how my waist measures.

Posture is a real one. When I fixed my anterior pelvic tilt my waist dropped .75 inch without weight chang.e Looked leaner too.

What do January vs now pics look like? I'd trust those over navel tape. 1600-1800 cal at 5 ft 6 and lifting 3x is a solid deficit. Labs improving is a win. If you're worried about muscle, how are your main lifts? If squat and bench are holding or up, you're probably fine.

Down 34 lbs myself and my navel tape did the same stupid thing until I started measuring first thing, fasted, before coffee, and only after a rest day. Lifting can leave me 0.75 inch puffier for 48 hours.

Also measure at the narrowest point, not straight across the belly button. My navel lagged two months, then dropped 2.25 inches in three weeks. So no, not necessarily muscle loss — waist fat can just be stubborn.

Pants sizing is the better signal here. I went from a 36 to a 33 while my navel measured almost the same for six weeks, because my hips and upper belly deflated first. Are you tracking sleep and stress?

My waist stalls hard when I’m under 6 hours or stressed at work, even with calories steady. One bad weekend of salty takeout can add 1-2 inches of bloat on my tape, then vanish by Wednesday.

38 lbs is 18% of your starting weight — the tape is just late to the party.

Pants 38 to 36 is a win. I’d take that over a navel measurement any day.

Your navel is honestly the worst place on the whole body to measure. Mine sits in a slightly different spot depending on whether I've eaten, how much salt I had, and how bloated I am, so I get 1-1.5 inch swings there in the same week.

Try the smallest point between your lowest rib and your hip bone instead, same time of day, morning, fasted, after you exhale normally (don't suck in, don't pull tight), and take three passes and use the average. I switched and my numbers went from nonsense to actually tracking with the scale.

Also check whether you're measuring after a lifting day versus a rest day, because the day after squats and deadlifts I hold a ton of water through my trunk and it shows up on the tape. Log it weekly, not daily, and give it 3-4 weeks before you judge the trend.

My waist number sat still for almost a month, then dropped 1.75 inches in about nine days.

Fat loss doesn't come off the tape in a straight line, it comes in chunks, and the pre-drop stretch is usually water masking the change underneath. Did your lifts hold steady or go up over those five months? That's the better answer to the muscle question than the tape is.

I tracked mine in a spreadsheet with waist, hips, chest, and thigh, and the opposite of what I expected was that my waist moved last while my hips and cest moved first. Losing 38 lbs in 5 months with 3x lifting and 8-10k steps is a big deficit, and if your main lifts are holding or climbing, you're almost certainly keeping most of your lean mass.

One thing that helped me: measure the smallest point, plus hips and upper thigh, and also grab one photo a month in the same spot and lighting. The tape said 1 inch while the photos showed a completely different torso shape because the fat went from visceral to subcutaneous and my posture changed as the front load came off.

If your squat or row numbers have held over 20+ weeks, that's your proof right there.

Curious whether you're measuring hips and thighs too, or just the navel? When mine stalled at the waist, my hips had already dropped 3 inches first and I just wasn't looking there. Also, has your weight been steady the last two weeks or still dropping?