At week 11 of my own run, I was 5'5", 39, stuck at 187 for 26 days while my jeans went from a 16 to a 14 and my watch band moved a notch, so I get why you’re second-guessing. I was eating 1750-1850 calories, 125-140g protein, lifting three days, walking 8-10k, and the scale would not move more than 0.4 lbs either way.
What broke the tie for me wasn’t cutting calories; it was realizing I’d been lifting heavier for six weeks and my sleep was trash during a work deadline. I added 30 minutes of wind-down no-phone time and kept everything else the same, and about 10 days later the scale dropped 4.8 lbs in five days, which was clearly water and inflammation finally letting go.
The weird part: I actually ate more carbs on two of those days because I was hungry, and that’s when the whoosh happened. I’m not saying carbs caused it, just that my body was holding onto fluid from stress, hard training, and probably some weekend salty takeout.
If your waist is down another 1.5 inches and rings are looser, that’s real fat loss, not a fake plateau. The only things I’d audit before changing anything are whether your weekends are running 500-800 calories over what you log on weekdays, whether your lifting volume jumped, and whether you’re sleeping under 6.5 hours.
If those are solid, I’d give it another 2-3 weeks with the same plan. If weekends are loose, tighten those first.
I regret cutting calories too early during my stall because I lost strength and the scale still didn’t move until the stress settled.